SCENARIO APPROACH TO CHOOSING A STRATEGY FOR FINANCIAL SUPPORT OF THE MAIN COMPONENTS OF NATIONAL SECURITY

Abstract

The article defines a comprehensive approach to financing components of national security, covering the military, economic, social and energy spheres. The importance of a balanced distribution of resources, based on quantitative and qualitative analysis, in particular on econometric models and expert assessments, is proven. The feasibility of using a scenario approach, which includes modelling possible options for system transitions between different states, considered discrete-time chains, is substantiated. It is established that simultaneous attention to comprehensive monitoring, control mechanisms and regulatory framework contributes to a more efficient use of financial resources and reduces vulnerability to external and internal threats. It is established that the successful activation of mechanisms for financing components of security involves a preliminary assessment of priorities, strategic planning, interdepartmental coordination, regular monitoring and adjustment. It is substantiated that such an approach ensures sustainable growth, minimizes domestic political risks and creates a basis for effective cooperation with international partners. As a result, the article proves the vital need for a comprehensive, systematic and flexible financial policy aimed at protecting the long-term interests of the state in the context of modern challenges to national security.